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Weekly Warriors - Streaming D/ST
What is streaming DST? For those of you unfamiliar with this strategy, let me explain. Some people in your league will jump out of line early in the draft to select Seattle or San Francisco. That's fine, but statistically speaking I believe if you fill your roster with talent at skill positions, you can play matchups and the waiver wire to find success with your DST on a weekly or bi-weekly basis.
Streaming DST is a controversial subject to some non-believers. For those of us who have learned to use this strategy to our advantage on a weekly basis, we believe. This article's primary purpose is to give you all a list of DSTs to look at on a weekly basis. I want to take it a step further and explain not only who, but why.
There are two important things I like to do when choosing that DST off of the waiver wire or out of the free agency pool. If you follow some of these and maybe some of your own, you should make this strategy a success.
1) Have Foresight
By this, I only mean look into the schedule. Streaming DST can be risky business if it's a week-to-week change. How many times has someone ahead of you on the waiver wire grabbed that DST you were after? Try not to look only at the current matchup. Look down the schedule a few weeks to see if you may be able to use them in following weeks also. This will allow you to minimize risk.
2) Criminal Offense
Some offenses are so bad it should be a crime. Streaming DST isn't about finding that "diamond in the rough" team. It's about matching up against struggling offenses. A bad QB or struggling offense can make even a pedestrian defense look playoff worthy. Focus on finding these offenses, and less on trying to predict defensive statistics on a weekly basis.
Week 1 D/ST picks
1) Baltimore Ravens
Schedule Week 1 - Cincinnati Week 2 - Pittsburgh Week 3 - @ Cleveland
The Ravens are far from former greatness. However they are available in more than 80% of ESPN Standard scoring leagues. Suggs, Dumervil and Ngata are very good up front, while new faces like Arthur Brown, C.J. Moseley and Matt Elam add a youthful, playmaking flare. AFC North games can tend to be low scoring. I like Cincinnati to have a good offensive season, but Baltimore has fared well against them. Pittsburgh & Cleveland have both looked lost in the Pre-Season. Here are a few more reasons I like them early on.
-In 2013 the Ravens had 7 Int's in 2 games against the Bengals.
-Averaged 16 pts. in 2 games against the Bengals.
-Averaged 16.5 pts in 2 games against the Browns.
-Never allowed more than 20 points to the Steelers in 2 games last year.
2) New York Giants
Schedule Week 1 - @ Detroit Week 2 - Arizona Week 3 - Houston
The New York Football Giants. Wait,who? I know what your thinking. Weren't they terrible last year? The answer is two part. Over the first 6 games they were statistically among the worst teams. Over the last 10 games they were among the best. They finished as one of the hottest teams in the league for DST last season. Look at the reasoning.
-Averaged 4 pts per game over the first 6 games of 2013.
-Averaged 19.9 pts per game over the last 10 games of 2013.
-Finished 2013 (5th) in net pass yards per attempt.
-Finished 2013 (6th) in yards per carry.
-Improved secondary adding Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Walter Thurmond.
-@ Detroit last year scored 21 fantasy points.
3) Philadelphia Eagles
Schedule Week 1 - Jacksonville Week 2 - @ Indianapolis Week 3 - Washington
The Eagles are known for that "High Octane" offense Chip Kelly has installed. I think they can put up a few points defensively early in the season as well. Look at the early opponents. Jacksonville, do I need to elaborate on their offense? Didn't think so. Indianapolis will do great offensively this season if Andy Luck learns to throw from his back. He has been under constant and immediate pressure. Has anyone else seen the tragedy that is the Redskins offense? At this point Cousins looks like the more capable starter, but we all know that won't happen. These are my favorite reasons the Eagles can steal you a game.
-Finished 2013 (5th) in takeaways.
-In 2013 vs. Washington - 5 takeaways, Averaged 18.5 fantasy points per game.
It's extremely difficult to make defensive projections when the regular season hasn't begun. I think these teams give you the best shot early on to get some points out of your DST. I will be posting this weekly as things can change quickly.
Note: I posted this a bit early and will edit if necessary due to injuries, etc.